GREATER
VICTORIA REAL ESTATE SUMMARY
2007
PROFILE:
SUMMARY:
2007
has shown increased pricing for all property types, with
new price records for single family homes and townhomes
throughout the year, peaking at $624,450 in Dec.07.
Single family home
pricing increased 8.5% during 2007 (at least double the
predicted 3% to 5% increase for the year). Condo
prices increased 11% and townhome prices went up 10.5%.
Sales volume
increased over 12% in 2007 over 2006. The total dollar
transaction for properties in Greater Victoria MLS in
2007 hit a new record at $4.1 billion, up from $3.3
billion in 2006. More than $2.5 billion in single
family homes sold during the year; condos sold to a
total of over $756 million.
The
emergence of an upward trend in mortgage interest rates
and interest on consumer debt is fuelled strong summer
market activity; summer sales volumes (May, June and
July) were their highest in 15 years.
The 2007 financing scenario
has included buyer options for 35- and 40-year mortgages,
a
5% down-payment option when purchasing houses that include
rental suites, and new guidelines for self-employed
homebuyers.
There
continues to be a wide choice of properties available for
buyers coupled with strong demand for realistically-priced
homes. Sales volumes have been strong all year, most
recently at 408 in Dec.07 which is high for the
holiday-season month.
Desirable
homes in some neighbourhoods were still getting over-list
price until around August, but in autumn 2007 some price
correction was seen for all property types. the
high average sale price in Dec.07 was due to the sale of
14 homes that were priced over $1 million. Well-priced properties
were selling promptly.
PROPERTY-TYPE
DETAILS:
Single
family homes in 2007 showed price increases all
year. A record monthly average of $624,450 was set
at year-end in Dec.07, busting the top off the Nov.07
average of $596,586 which had itself skyrocketed past the mid-year record of
$574,753 (Jul.07). The 6-month rolling average
increased all year. It started at $511,192
in January, reached $553,323 by June, $576,230 by
November, and achieved $581,419 in December.
Townhomes
in 2007 did not surpass the Dec.06 peak of $435,408 until
Nov.07 when the new record was set at $474,150.
The average in Dec.07 relaxed a bit to $455,026.
The average for townhomes in
Greater Victoria held over the $400,000 mark after May.07 -- $411,900 in May,
$405,693 in June, and $404,493 in July. The 6-month rolling average
reached $419,096 by Dec.07.
Condos
in 2007 did not surpass the Nov.06 peak of $359,742
at any time during the year. Toward year end the
average price lowered to $313,665 in Nov.07 and finished
the year at $332,793 in Dec07.
The 6-month average held below $320,000 for most of this year --
showing at $311,871 in Jul.07 though by Nov.07 had reached
$323,778 but went below the $320,000 threshold again by
December at $319,980.
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Inventory
overview 2007:
The
overall number of properties available for sale was steady-state in January 2007 at 2,661 properties for sale (up 22% from a year previous), then moved up monthly through the year to date. See table below. A jump in May 2007 to 3,462 properties for sale took the inventory to the highest level seen in over 6 years, surpassed in June with 3,550 properties listed for sale at the end of that month. In October 2007 there were 3,311 properties for sale on the Greater Victoria MLS system, then 3,196 in November (on par with last November's level).
The year ended with inventory at 2,799 in December 2007, up
from the previous year's December tally.
HISTORICAL:
Inventory that began at 2,187 in January 2006
reached a 5-year peak by September 2006 at 3,449 properties for
sale. October held around that level, November relaxed
to 3,158. Then in December the inventory fell to 2,650
(but which was still 25% higher than in December 2005).
See table below.
| MLS
PROPERTIES* AVAILABLE
FOR SALE |
Inventory
in 2005 Greater
Victoria |
Inventory
in 2006 Greater
Victoria |
Inventory
in 2007 Greater
Victoria |
| January |
2,036 |
2,187 |
2,661
(22% higher than Jan.06) |
| February |
2,105 |
2,320 |
2,919
(26% higher than Feb.06) |
| March |
2,040 |
2,480 |
3,079
(24% higher than Mar.06) |
| April |
2,106 |
2,627 |
3,305
(22% higher than Apr.06) |
| May |
2,188 |
2,903 |
3,462 |
| June |
2,335 |
3,147
(35% over last June) |
3,550
highest in 6 years |
| July |
2,275 |
3,318
(46% over last July) |
3,402 |
| August |
2,379 |
3,345
(41% over last Aug.) |
3,352 |
| September |
2,436 |
3,449:
highest in 2006; highest in 5 years (42% over last Sept.) |
3,381 |
|
| October |
2,496:
highest in 2005 |
3,426 |
3,311 |
|
| November |
2,399 |
3,158
(32% over last Nov.) |
3,196 (up slightly over last Nov.) |
| December |
2,005 |
2,650
(32% over last Dec.) |
2,799 |
| *
= single family homes, condos, townhomes,
manufactured homes, commercial properties, and
lots |
|
|
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Sales
Volume 2007:
A strong,
sales turnover (672 residential sales) was evident in Oct.07, surpassing Oct.06 sales volume by 20%.
A similar margin was seen in Nov.07 over the previous year.
| MLS
PROPERTIES SOLD in
Greater Victoria |
2005 Sales
Volume |
2006 Sales
Volume |
2007 Sales
Volume |
| January |
472
(21% higher than Jan. 2004) |
496
(5% higher than Jan. 2005) |
442
(up from Dec.06 year-end) |
| February |
662
(16% higher than Feb. 2004) |
658
(1% lower than Feb. 2005) |
707 |
| March |
924
(highest since March 1991) |
786
(15% lower than Mar. 2005) |
833 |
| April |
936 (at
that point, the highest
since May 1991) |
780
(17% lower than April 2005) |
898 |
| May |
901 |
909
(peak for 2006) |
963
(the highest
level since May 1991) |
| June |
862 |
762 |
949 (highest June
tally in 15 years) |
| July |
769 |
677 |
922 (highest July
tally in 15 years) |
| August |
753 |
694 |
783 (highest Aug.
tally in 15 years) |
| September |
714 |
593 |
632 |
|
| October |
575 |
590 |
672 |
|
| November |
573 |
571 |
623 |
| December |
391 |
385 |
408 |
Regional
Perspective:
Being
a highly desirable Canadian residential location
(climate, coastal lifestyle, etc.), the
Greater Victoria area market has maintained significant
strength during 2004-2007.
Price
increases have been commonplace over the last three years;
prices still increased in 2006 but at a slower pace than in
2005. Reaching the higher limits of affordability for
average homeowners, prices are likely not to increase too
much (or too quickly) in 2007.
Buyers
within the local market, particularly aging baby boomers, may downsize (or move to other
parts of Vancouver Island) and thereby incur some financial
gain. Some local buyers are choosing townhomes
instead of single family homes as a way of purchasing at
lower price levels (for comparatively similar living area
and yard space, as well as increased
convenience).
New buyers to the
Greater Victoria (and southern Vancouver Island) region are
arriving from across
Canada, the USA, parts of Europe, and from Asia.
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